Old Farmer’s Almanac Winter 2019-2020 Forecast and Predictions
The Old Farmer’s Almanac released its highly anticipated winter 2019-2020 weather forecast, and the outlook calls for a season of extreme conditions across the United States. Building on its well-established reputation for blending traditional forecasting methods with modern science, the Almanac warns of a ‘snow-verload’ winter filled with frequent storms and persistent frigid temperatures.
Key Highlights from the 2019-2020 Winter Forecast
- No fewer than seven major snowstorms predicted coast-to-coast.
- Record-breaking extremes in both temperature and precipitation.
- Persistent frigid and frosty conditions well into spring for many regions.
- Possible repeat of last winter’s heavy snowfall in key areas, especially the Midwest and the Northeast.
- Even generally warm regions such as Hawaii are expected to experience unseasonably cold and stormy weather.
How the Almanac Makes Its Predictions
The Old Farmer’s Almanac, founded in 1792, has long impressed its readers with what it describes as a proprietary weather forecasting formula. Originally devised by founder Robert B. Thomas, this formula weighs a variety of environmental and astronomical factors – including sunspot activity, prevailing weather patterns, and atmospheric conditions. Over the years, the Almanac has fine-tuned its methodology, blending historical data with cutting-edge technology to enhance predictive accuracy.
- The publication claims an accuracy rate of 80.5% for previous forecasts, including notable hits on last year’s record weather events.
- This season’s forecast covers 16 distinct regions across the continental U.S. as well as Alaska and Hawaii, providing geographically targeted insights.
A Season of Extremes: What to Expect Coast to Coast
For winter 2019-2020, the Old Farmer’s Almanac warns Americans to brace for a relentless parade of weather events. The forecast suggests that this season will be ‘remembered for strong storms’ marked by heavy rain, sleet, and copious snow totals. The Almanac’s editor, Janice Stillman, highlights the risk of ‘never-ending winter,’ particularly in the Midwest and eastern states.
Regional Forecast Overview
| Region | Predicted Conditions |
|---|---|
| Midwest / Great Lakes / Ohio Valley / Appalachians | Heavy snowstorms, frigid temperatures, extended winter; snow and cold may last until March or later. |
| Northeast | Record snowfall possible, continued frosty spells. |
| Northwest & Rockies | Repeat of last year’s “Snowpocalypse;” major storms forecast, especially in Washington State and across the northern tier. |
| South | Wet, wild, and icy conditions; less severe snow but increased rainfall. |
| Alaska | Snowy and cold; typical winter extremes. |
| Hawaii | Unseasonably chilly with potential for heavy thunderstorms. |
Big Snowstorms: “Snow-verload” Winter Ahead
The Almanac draws attention to the expectation of seven or more major snowstorms blanketing the U.S. from coast to coast. These storms are not limited to traditional snowy regions – an unusually high risk extends to parts of the Pacific Northwest, Midwest, Great Lakes, and even into Appalachians.
- Two significant storms forecast for the Intermountain West, including late-season events into April.
- Washington State and the northern-tier states may witness snowfall on the scale of last winter’s ‘Snowpocalypse.’
- Midwest and Northeast could face a series of blizzards and extended cold snaps.
Below-Normal Temperatures: Cold to Last into Spring
In addition to frequent snowstorms, the Almanac predicts below-normal temperatures will linger much longer than usual. ‘Frigid and frosty conditions’ are expected to dominate the forecast deep into spring, affecting both travel plans and daily routines. The combination of snow and cold may lead to what some describe as a ‘never-ending winter’ for much of the Midwest and regions eastward.
- Areas from the northern Plains through the Great Lakes may see the most significant drops in temperature, with the lowest readings typically arriving in late January and continuing into February.
- Events such as the ‘Coldest Valentine’s Day in 77 years’ in Chicago and record lows in Minnesota highlight the kind of extremes anticipated.
Impact on Travel and Daily Life
Whether planning holiday travel, a mid-winter getaway, or daily outings, readers are advised to prepare for disruptive weather. The Old Farmer’s Almanac recommends stocking up on quality winter boots and other cold-weather gear. Even tropical escapes might not guarantee warmth: Hawaii’s forecast points to possible chills and stormy conditions, making it less appealing for a winter sun retreat.
Recommended Cold-Weather Gear
- Snow Boots: Insulated, waterproof boots for women and men
- Rain & Snow Boots: For transitional conditions and unexpected precipitation
- Parkas, gloves, and thermal layers for prolonged exposure to cold
The Science Behind the Forecasts
While the Almanac’s methodology is proprietary, it combines historical analysis and modern weather modeling. Key scientific ideas used in this forecast:
- Arctic Oscillation (AO): Atmospheric circulation pattern over polar latitudes, controlling jet stream orientation and polar vortex behavior.
- Sunspot activity and astronomical cycles measured against historical climate trends.
- Modeling storm movements based on topography and regional weather system tendencies.
Meteorologists note that long-range forecasts, while valuable for planning, can be challenged by phenomena such as the AO, which may cause rapid changes in weather patterns that are hard to foresee more than a few weeks ahead. The Almanac acknowledges the complexity and limitations of predictive science but offers guidance based on decades of refined methods.
Comparing the Almanacs: Old Farmer’s vs. Farmers’ Almanac
It’s important to note the difference between the two leading annual weather guides—the Old Farmer’s Almanac and Farmers’ Almanac. For 2019-2020, both forecasts converged on a prediction of extreme cold and heavy snow, though each publication emphasized different aspects:
| Publication | Focus | Key Terms | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Old Farmer’s Almanac | Frequent snow, powerful storms | ‘Snow-verload’, ‘Never-ending winter’ | 80.5% (self-reported) |
| Farmers’ Almanac | Record cold, icy spells, ‘Polar coaster’ | ‘Freezing, frigid, frosty’ | Similar accuracy reported |
The consistency between these publications increases the confidence in the forecast this season, suggesting widespread rough weather across the United States.
Why Trust the Old Farmer’s Almanac?
- Established in 1792, the Old Farmer’s Almanac remains one of the longest running annual publications in America.
- Methodology blends cloud physics, solar activity, and regional weather history to deliver high-level forecasts.
- Past season forecasts achieved notable accuracy for major weather events, earning widespread reader trust.
Tips to Prepare for the 2019-2020 Winter
- Update your winter gear – reliable boots, thermal clothing, and waterproof layers are essential.
- Stock up on emergency supplies – road salt, snow shovels, flashlights, food, and water for severe storm scenarios.
- Monitor local forecasts for up-to-date alerts on approaching storms or cold snaps.
- Plan travel and outdoor activities with winter weather in mind—remaining flexible and prioritizing safety.
Exclusive Offers for Readers
Country Living readers can enjoy 20% off the 2020 Old Farmer’s Almanac and calendars by visiting the official store and using the promo code COUNTRYLIVING. Offer expires 12/31/2019. (Please check current offers as expiration dates may have passed.)
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)
Q: What regions will see the heaviest snowfall during winter 2019-2020?
A: The Midwest, northern-tier states, Great Lakes, and Northeast are forecast to see the greatest snow accumulation—potentially surpassing last year’s record totals.
Q: How accurate are Old Farmer’s Almanac winter forecasts?
A: The publication reports an accuracy rate of 80.5% for previous long-range forecasts, particularly for large-scale weather events.
Q: Will winter last longer than usual this year?
A: Yes; the Almanac predicts that winter conditions will persist well into March and possibly through the first days of spring in many regions.
Q: Is anywhere in the U.S. likely to escape harsh winter weather?
A: No; the forecast warns of widespread cold and precipitation, with even Hawaii at risk for colder temperatures and heavy storms.
Q: Where can I buy the Old Farmer’s Almanac or its calendars?
A: The Almanac and related products are available at major retailers and onsale at the official website, with seasonal discounts and exclusive offers for newsletter subscribers and certain promo codes.
Conclusion: Prepare for a Wild Winter
With the Old Farmer’s Almanac forecasting an unprecedented ‘snow-verload’ and stocks of cold, Americans should plan ahead for travel, safety, and comfort through spring. From the Midwest’s relentless snow barrage to Hawaii’s chill, winter 2019-2020 is set to make history for its extremes and unpredictability. Stay informed, stay prepared, and enjoy the beauty and drama of the season.
